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NameAPCC 6-Month Lead Coupled MME Outlooks
DescriptionThe APEC Climate Center (APCC) Experimental Climate Outlook is a coupled 6-month MME prediction outlook. It is based on the multi-model ensemble prediction technique using the model outputs from 5 institutions in the APEC region. The outlook includes the ENSO and IOD forecast outlook for the same period.(More…) (PDF)
ECV
  • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
  • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
Region
  • Central North Pacific
  • Western North Pacific
  • South Pacific
  • Pacific Basin
  • Global
Impact
  • Drought
  • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
  • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
Sector
  • Public Health and Safety
  • Fresh Water Resources
  • Community Planning and Development
  • Agriculture and Fisheries
  • Ecosystems
Methodology
  • In-Situ Observations
  • Satellite/Remote Observations
  • Statistical Model
  • Dynamical Model
Time Scale
  • Future (three months)
  • Future (six months or more)
Spatial Scale
  • Region/Nation (Grid)
Sourcehttp://www.apcc21.org/eng/service/mme/enso/japcc030401.jsp
NameAPCC Climate Outlook
DescriptionThe APCC Climate Outlook is a synthesis of the latest model forecasts for the upcoming 3-month period. The forecast includes a Sea Surface Temperature and ENSO Outlook, and a Temperature and Precipitation Outlook.(More…) (PDF)
ECV
  • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
  • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
Region
  • Central North Pacific
  • Western North Pacific
  • South Pacific
  • Pacific Basin
  • Global
Impact
  • Drought
  • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
  • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
Sector
  • Public Health and Safety
  • Fresh Water Resources
  • Community Planning and Development
  • Agriculture and Fisheries
  • Ecosystems
Methodology
  • Statistical Model
  • Dynamical Model
Time Scale
  • Future (three months)
Spatial Scale
  • Region/Nation (Grid)
Sourcehttp://www.apcc21.net/eng/service/fore/lmon/japcc030101_lst.jsp
NameAverage Monthly Temperature and Precipitation Summaries for Hawaii and U.S.-Affiliated Pacific Islands
DescriptionSummaries of Average Maximum Temperature, Average Minimum Temperature, Average Total Precipitation, and Percent of Possible Observations for Period of Record for Hawaii and U.S.-Affiliated Pacific Islands.(More…) (PDF)
ECV
  • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
Region
  • Central North Pacific
  • Western North Pacific
  • South Pacific
Impact
  • Drought
  • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
Sector
  • Fresh Water Resources
  • Agriculture and Fisheries
  • Ecosystems
Methodology
  • In-Situ Observations
Time Scale
  • Past (historical)
Spatial Scale
  • Location/Site Specific (Point)
Sourcehttp://www.wrcc.dri.edu/summary/climsmhi.html
NameAVHRR High Resolution Picture Transmission Sea Surface Temperature
DescriptionThe Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) - High Resolution Picture Transmission (HRPT) dataset provides Sea-Surface Temperature (SST) data collected over the Hawaiian Archipelago by means of a remote satellite receiving station located in Ewa Beach, Oahu, which is operated remotely by NOAA OceanWatch - Central Pacific. This dataset is acquired up to 8 times a day with a spatial resolution of 1.1 km at nadir. The hourly acquisition times are defined by the orbit characteristic of each satellite as well as the number of operational satellites within the POES satellite constellation. Historical data is available from NOAA's Comprehensive Large Array-data Stewardship System (CLASS).(More…) (PDF)
ECV
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    Impact
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://oceanwatch.pifsc.noaa.gov/map_hrpt_sst.html
    NameClimate Impacts and Outlook Dashboard – Hawaii and U.S. Pacific Islands Region
    DescriptionThis website serves as a digital version of the quarterly "Hawaii and U.S. Pacific Islands Region Climate Impacts and Outlook". The quarterly outlook draws on the PEAC Climate Center's "Pacific ENSO Update" quarterly newsletter and other sources to bring together seasonal predictions and projections alongside information on recent impacts of weather and climate events in a concise and accessible format. The tabs mirror the content that can be found in the current outlook. This website also provides access to information used to develop the quarterly outlook in the form of a dashboard that aggregates climate variability-related content via links to products and information from a mix of agencies, institutions, and organizations.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    • Terrestrial (e.g., Groundwater, Soil Moisture)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    Impact
    • Drought
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Public Health and Safety
    • Fresh Water Resources
    • Community Planning and Development
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    • Recreation and Tourism
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • In-Situ Observations
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    • Statistical Model
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    • Future (three months)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://www.pacificcis.org/dashboard/
    NameClimate Impacts and Outlook Synopsis – Hawaii and U.S. Pacific Islands Region
    DescriptionQuarterly Hawaii and U.S.-Affiliated Pacific Islands Climate Impacts and Outlook synopsis. This prototype product draws on the Pacific ENSO Applications Climate (PEAC) Center’s Pacific ENSO Update Climate Newsletter and other sources to bring together seasonal predictions and projections information alongside recent impacts of weather and climate events in a concise and accessible format.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    • Terrestrial (e.g., Groundwater, Soil Moisture)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    Impact
    • Drought
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Public Health and Safety
    • Fresh Water Resources
    • Community Planning and Development
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    • Recreation and Tourism
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • In-Situ Observations
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    • Statistical Model
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    • Future (three months)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://www.pacificcis.org/dashboard/pdf/Climate_Impacts_and_Outlook_Q3_2014.pdf
    NameComposite Rainfall of ENSO for Individual Pacific Island Stations
    DescriptionComposite rainfall amounts for each of 66 Pacific Basin stations, by ENSO status. The dotted line denotes the climatological mean rainfall for all years in the 1955-96 period, the solid line the mean for the 12 composited warm ENSO episode years, and the dashed line the mean for the 8 cold episode years. Vertical lines denote calendar year changes. Each plot shows composite rainfall for the period beginning about 5 seasons before the boreal winter of a mature episode and ending about 5 seasons after that winter. Differences between the composited rainfalls for the samples representing the warm phases of ENSO versus that of the remaining (neutral plus cold phase) years passing a 2-tailed significance test at the 0.05 level are indicated with a hollow square along the solid line. Significant differences at the 0.05 level with respect to the cold phase composite rainfalls versus remaining (neutral plus warm phase) years are indicated with a solid square along the dashed line.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Pacific Basin
    Impact
    • Drought
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    Sector
    • Fresh Water Resources
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • In-Situ Observations
    Time Scale
    • Past (historical)
    Spatial Scale
    • Location/Site Specific (Point)
    Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pacdir/ENSO11.shtml
    NameCoral Bleaching Alert Area
    DescriptionThe NOAA Coral Reef Watch (CRW) satellite twice-weekly 50 km coral bleaching alert area product presented here outlines the areas where bleaching thermal stress currently reaches various bleaching stress levels, based on our satellite sea surface temperature monitoring. PLEASE NOTE that this is still an experimental product, so users may see subtle changes to the product over time.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Pacific Basin
    • Global
    Impact
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/satellite/baa/index.html
    NameCoral Bleaching Hot Spots
    DescriptionThe HotSpot product shows areas in the world where corals are currently under thermal stress - where sea surface temperatures are above the maximum monthly mean. The scale goes from 0 to 5 degrees C. Spatial resolution is one-half degree.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Pacific Basin
    • Global
    Impact
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/satellite/current/products_hotspot.html
    NameCurrent State of El Nino
    DescriptionThe principal mode of interannual sea surface temperature variability in the tropical Pacific Ocean is associated with El Nino. A plot illustrates the spatial pattern of that variability that is succinctly described by the first empirical orthogonal function (EOF1) of the SSTs. A time-series graph shows the monthly evolution of the amplitude and phase of EOF1 from January 1950 to present. Large positive departures, shown in red, denote warm events, whereas large negative departures, shown in blue, denote cold events.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Pacific Basin
    Impact
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    Time Scale
    • Past (historical)
    • Current (existing or recent)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/impacts/currentclimo.html
    NameDegree Heating Weeks
    DescriptionThe Degree Heating Weeks product shows accumulated thermal stress, over the past 12 weeks, which can lead to coral bleaching. The scale goes from 0 to 16 degree-weeks. Spatial resolution is one-half degree.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Pacific Basin
    • Global
    Impact
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/satellite/current/products_dhw.html
    NameEast Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
    DescriptionGraphical tropical weather outlook for the Eastern North Pacific, East of 140W Longitude. This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Pacific Basin
    Impact
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
    Sector
    • Public Health and Safety
    Methodology
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml
    NameEastern Pacific Hurricane Season Outlook
    DescriptionThe Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Outlook is an official product of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC), and is produced in collaboration with scientists from the NOAA National Hurricane Center (NHC). The eastern Pacific hurricane region covers the eastern North Pacific Ocean east of 140W north of the equator. This outlook is general guide to the expected overall activity during the upcoming hurricane season. It is not a seasonal hurricane landfall forecast, and it does not imply levels of activity for any particular region.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Pacific Basin
    Impact
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
    Sector
    • Public Health and Safety
    • Community Planning and Development
    Methodology
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    • Dynamical Model
    Time Scale
    • Future (six months or more)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Epac_hurr/Epac_hurricane.html
    NameECMFW Seasonal Forecasts
    DescriptionTropics region seasonal forecasts of model probabilities stratified by terciles. Available parameters are: precipitation, sea surface temperature, 2m temperature, and mean sea level pressure.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Global
    Impact
    • Drought
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Fresh Water Resources
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • Statistical Model
    Time Scale
    • Future (one month)
    • Future (three months)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/seasonal/forecast/seasonal_range_forecast/group_public/seasonal_charts_public_2tm!rain!1%20month!Tropics!201207!tercile%20summary/
    NameEddy Watch Hawaii
    DescriptionEddy Watch Hawaii is a continuous satellite-based Sea-Surface Temperature (SST) monitoring program that functions at NOAA OceanWatch - Central Pacific (Honolulu, Hawaii). It was implemented with the objective of detecting, monitoring and assessing the formation of marine eddies. This is done through the use of daily satellite-based SST information collected by the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) at a pixel resolution of approximately 6 km.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    Impact
    • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    Methodology
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://oceanwatch.pifsc.noaa.gov/goes_eddywatch.html
    NameEl Nino/La Nina Update
    DescriptionForecasting and monitoring the El Nino/La Nina phenomenon is undertaken in a number of ways. Complex dynamical models project the evolution of the tropical Pacific Ocean from its currently observed state. Statistical forecast models can also capture some of the precursors of such developments. Expert analysis of the current situation adds further value, especially in interpreting the implications of the evolving situation below the ocean surface. All forecast methods try to incorporate the effects of ocean-atmosphere interactions within the climate system. The meteorological and oceanographic data that allow El Nino and La Nina episodes to be monitored and forecast are drawn from national and international observing systems. The exchange and processing of the data are carried out under programmes coordinated by the World Meteorological Organization. (More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Pacific Basin
    Impact
    • Drought
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Fresh Water Resources
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • Statistical Model
    • Dynamical Model
    Time Scale
    • Future (three months)
    • Future (six months or more)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/wcasp/documents/WMO_ENSO_Feb12_Eng.pdf
    NameEl Nino/Southern Oscillation Outlook
    DescriptionA monthly summary of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the tropical South Pacific islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region. This outlook uses a Multi-Model Ensemble Tool for the Pacific Islands (METPI).(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • South Pacific
    Impact
    • Drought
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Public Health and Safety
    • Fresh Water Resources
    • Community Planning and Development
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    • Recreation and Tourism
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • Dynamical Model
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    • Future (one month)
    • Future (three months)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://www.niwa.co.nz/climate/icu
    NameEmpirical Orthogonal Function Ocean Variability Indicator - Ocean Altimetry
    DescriptionEmpirical Orthogonal Functions (EOFs) are used by oceanographers as a tool for identifying changes within the oceans caused by climate variability. These types of changes often have large spatial and temporal scales. Therefore, the use of EOFs with ocean altimetry (SSH) data allows for the statistical characterization of the spatial and temporal variations observed within the SSH dataset for the Pacific Basin. In this way, EOFs provide a percentage measure for the amount of variance detected. This statistical information allows for subsequent study and interpretation of the detected variations.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Pacific Basin
    Impact
    • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    Methodology
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    • Statistical Model
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://oceanwatch.pifsc.noaa.gov/eof_maps.html
    NameENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions
    DescriptionWeekly ENSO Update, updated every Monday, from NOAA/NCEP/CPC. Includes: Overview Statements, updated once a month, in association with the ENSO Diagnostics Discussion; Recent Evolution and Current Conditions; Oceanic Nino Index; Pacific SST Outlook; U.S. Seasonal Precipitation and Temperature Outlooks; and Summary.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Pacific Basin
    Impact
    • Drought
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Public Health and Safety
    • Fresh Water Resources
    • Community Planning and Development
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    • Recreation and Tourism
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • In-Situ Observations
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    • Statistical Model
    • Dynamical Model
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    • Future (one month)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf
    NameENSO Diagnostic Discussion
    DescriptionThe El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion is a monthly consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA’s National Weather Service, and their funded institutions.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Pacific Basin
    Impact
    • Drought
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Public Health and Safety
    • Fresh Water Resources
    • Community Planning and Development
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    • Recreation and Tourism
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • In-Situ Observations
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    • Statistical Model
    • Dynamical Model
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    • Future (one month)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/index.shtml
    NameENSO Precipitation Index
    DescriptionThe ENSO Precipitation Index for the last 30 days is calculated with precipitation anomalies from two areas in the Pacific Ocean and quantifies the strength of ENSO, in terms of regional rainfall changes. Time series of the bimonthly El Nino Index (EI), La Nina Index Precipitation Index (ESPI) are also shown.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Pacific Basin
    • Global
    Impact
    • Drought
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    Sector
    • Fresh Water Resources
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    • Statistical Model
    Time Scale
    • Current (existing or recent)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov/trmm_rain/Events/thirty_day.html
    NameFiji Climate Outlook
    DescriptionThe Fiji Meteorological Service uses the Seasonal Climate Outlook for Pacific Island Countries (SCOPIC) Model as its main guidance for predicting climate on a three to six month timescale. SCOPIC bases its calculations on there being a correlation between sea surface temperatures/SOI and rainfall/air temperatures. This outlook is prepared as soon as ENSO, climate and oceanographic data/information is received from recording stations around Fiji and Meteorological Agencies around the region/World.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • South Pacific
    Impact
    • Drought
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Fresh Water Resources
    • Community Planning and Development
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • In-Situ Observations
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    • Statistical Model
    Time Scale
    • Future (three months)
    • Future (six months or more)
    Spatial Scale
    • Location/Site Specific (Point)
    Sourcehttp://www.met.gov.fj/Outlook.pdf
    NameForecasts of Tropical Convection, Wind, and SST Pentads Using a Coupled Linear Inverse Model
    DescriptionExperimental forecasts using a Coupled Linear Inverse Model (C-LIM) v2.0 of three key tropical fields: outgoing longwave radiation (OLR); 200 and 850 mb winds; and sea surface temperature (SST); other variables may become available at a later date. Anomalies are averaged with a 5-day running mean and are relative to a 1982-2009 daily climatology (smoothed with a 31-day running mean). Forecast verification time is the central day of the forecast period.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Pacific Basin
    • Global
    Impact
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Ecosystems
    Methodology
    • Satellite/Remote Observations
    • Statistical Model
    Time Scale
    • Past (historical)
    • Current (existing or recent)
    Spatial Scale
    • Region/Nation (Grid)
    Sourcehttp://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/clim/
    NameGEOS-5 Experimental Seasonal Forecasts
    DescriptionGEOS-5 is a system of models integrated using the Earth System Modeling Framework. The GEOS-5 systems are being developed in the GMAO to support NASA's earth science research in data analysis, observing system modeling and design, climate and weather prediction, and basic research.(More…) (PDF)
    ECV
    • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
    • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
    Region
    • Central North Pacific
    • Western North Pacific
    • South Pacific
    • Pacific Basin
    • Global
    Impact
    • Drought
    • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
    • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
    Sector
    • Public Health and Safety
    • Fresh Water Resources
    • Community Planning and Development
    • Agriculture and Fisheries
    Methodology
    • Dynamical Model
    Time Scale
    • Future (three months)
    • Future (six months or more)
    Spatial Scale
      Sourcehttps://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/products/climateforecasts/GEOS5/index.cgi
      NameGHRSST Multi-Product Ensemble
      DescriptionEach day the GHRSST Multi-product Ensemble (GMPE) experiment, coordinated by the GHRSST (Group for High-Resolution Sea Surface Temperature), produces a median SST map and associated standard deviation map using SST analysis data collected over the last 24 hour period. The GMPE median ensemble SST map is computed as a median average using a variety of GHRSST L4 analysis products after their differing analysis grids have been homogenised by area averaging onto a standard 0.5° lat/lon grid. The GMPE median ensemble SST is currently derived using 11 separate analysis inputs.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
      Region
      • Global
      Impact
      • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
      Sector
      • Agriculture and Fisheries
      • Recreation and Tourism
      • Ecosystems
      Methodology
      • Satellite/Remote Observations
      Time Scale
      • Current (existing or recent)
      Spatial Scale
      • Region/Nation (Grid)
      Sourcehttps://www.ghrsst.org/data/todays-global-sst/
      NameGlobal Precipitation Anomalies During El Nino
      DescriptionGlobal Precipitation Anomalies during El Nino in Summer and in Winter. With discussion of Global and Regional (U.S.) Consequences of El Nino, and Benefits of El Nino Prediction.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
      Region
      • Global
      Impact
      • Drought
      • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
      Sector
      • Fresh Water Resources
      • Agriculture and Fisheries
      • Ecosystems
      Methodology
      • In-Situ Observations
      • Satellite/Remote Observations
      • Statistical Model
      Time Scale
      • Current (existing or recent)
      • Future (one month)
      • Future (three months)
      • Future (six months or more)
      Spatial Scale
      • Region/Nation (Grid)
      Sourcehttp://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/elnino/impacts.html
      NameGlobal Precipitation Time Series - Hawaii
      DescriptionClicking on the site locations display time series of Accumulated Precipitation Actual vs. Normal, and Daily Precipitation for various sites throughout Hawaii for the Last 30 Days, Last 60 Days and Last 365 Days. In the time series, the thick line depicts the accumulated actual precipitation and the dashed, thin line shows the accumulated normal precipitation. Regions shaded green show precipitation surpluses; regions shaded brown show precipitation deficits. Blank areas indicate missing data.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
      Region
      • Central North Pacific
      Impact
      • Drought
      • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
      Sector
      • Fresh Water Resources
      • Agriculture and Fisheries
      • Ecosystems
      Methodology
      • In-Situ Observations
      Time Scale
      • Current (existing or recent)
      Spatial Scale
      • Location/Site Specific (Point)
      Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/global_monitoring/precipitation/hawaii_30prec.shtml
      NameGlobal Precipitation Time Series - Micronesia/Guam
      DescriptionClicking on the site locations display time series of Accumulated Precipitation Actual vs. Normal, and Daily Precipitation for various sites throughout Micronesia and Guam for the Last 30 Days, Last 60 Days and Last 365 Days. In the time series, the thick line depicts the accumulated actual precipitation and the dashed, thin line shows the accumulated normal precipitation. Regions shaded green show precipitation surpluses; regions shaded brown show precipitation deficits. Blank areas indicate missing data.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
      Region
      • Western North Pacific
      Impact
      • Drought
      • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
      Sector
      • Fresh Water Resources
      • Agriculture and Fisheries
      • Ecosystems
      Methodology
      • In-Situ Observations
      Time Scale
      • Current (existing or recent)
      Spatial Scale
      • Location/Site Specific (Point)
      Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/global_monitoring/precipitation/micro_30prec.shtml
      NameGlobal Tropical Hazards and Benefits Outlook
      DescriptionThe Global Tropics Hazards and Benefits Outlook provides an outlook for the upcoming Week-1 and Week-2 time periods for areas expecting enhanced or suppressed rainfall integrated over a week and regions where conditions are especially favorable or unfavorable for tropical cyclogenesis. The anomalous rainfall outlooks target broad-scale conditions and local conditions will vary. The product synthesizes information and expert analysis from a number of CPC outlooks as well as other operational monitoring products. The product is generated with input from other Centers including ESRL, NHC, CPHC, JTWC, BoM, and select NWS forecast offices among other domestic and international collaborators.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
      Region
      • Global
      Impact
      • Drought
      • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
      Sector
      • Public Health and Safety
      • Fresh Water Resources
      • Agriculture and Fisheries
      Methodology
      • Satellite/Remote Observations
      • Statistical Model
      Time Scale
      • Current (existing or recent)
      • Future (one month)
      Spatial Scale
      • Region/Nation (Grid)
      Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/ghazards/index.php
      NameGPC El Nino Region Outlook
      DescriptionTropical Pacific (Nino region) sea-surface temperature forecasts. For each of several regions of the equatorial tropical Pacific the forecast graphs (called plume diagrams), show the predicted area average of monthly mean sea-surface temperature anomaly for each member of the ensemble forecast. The observed SST anomaly for the six months preceding the forecast is also shown.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
      Region
      • Central North Pacific
      • Western North Pacific
      Impact
      • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
      Sector
      • Agriculture and Fisheries
      • Ecosystems
      Methodology
      • Statistical Model
      Time Scale
      • Future (six months or more)
      Spatial Scale
      • Region/Nation (Grid)
      Sourcehttp://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/el-nino-la-nina
      NameHawaiian Islands Satellite Interpretation Message
      DescriptionHawaiian Islands satellite interpretation message based on visible satellite imagery.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
      Region
      • Central North Pacific
      Impact
      • Drought
      • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
      Sector
      • Fresh Water Resources
      • Agriculture and Fisheries
      • Recreation and Tourism
      Methodology
      • Satellite/Remote Observations
      Time Scale
      • Current (existing or recent)
      Spatial Scale
      • Region/Nation (Grid)
      Sourcehttp://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/sim.php
      NameHawaiian Islands Synoptic Discussion and Guidance
      DescriptionHawaiian Islands area forecast: Synopsis, Discussion, Aviation, Fire Weather, Marine, and Watches/Warnings/Advisories.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
      • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
      Region
      • Central North Pacific
      Impact
      • Drought
      • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
      • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
      Sector
      • Public Health and Safety
      • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
      • Agriculture and Fisheries
      • Recreation and Tourism
      Methodology
      • Satellite/Remote Observations
      Time Scale
      • Current (existing or recent)
      • Future (one month)
      Spatial Scale
      • Region/Nation (Grid)
      Sourcehttp://www.prh.noaa.gov/data/HFO/AFDHFO
      NameHigh Seas Forecast for North Pacific from the Equator to 30N between 140W and 160E
      DescriptionSeas given as significant wave height which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. This high seas forecast uses 1-minute average winds which may be higher than 10-minute average winds. Synopsis, 24 Hour Forecast, and 48 Hour Forecast valid 1800 UTC. Superseded by next issuance in 6 hours.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
      Region
      • Central North Pacific
      • Western North Pacific
      • South Pacific
      Impact
      • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
      Sector
      • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
      • Agriculture and Fisheries
      • Recreation and Tourism
      Methodology
      • Satellite/Remote Observations
      Time Scale
      • Current (existing or recent)
      • Future (one month)
      Spatial Scale
      • Region/Nation (Grid)
      Sourcehttp://www.prh.noaa.gov/data/HFO/HSFNP
      NameHigh Seas Forecast for South Pacific from the Equator to 25S between 120W and 160E
      DescriptionSeas given as significant wave height which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. This high seas forecast uses 1-minute average winds which may be higher than 10-minute average winds. Synopsis, 24 Hour Forecast, and 48 Hour Forecast valid 1800 UTC. Superseded by next issuance in 6 hours.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
      Region
      • South Pacific
      Impact
      • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
      Sector
      • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
      • Agriculture and Fisheries
      • Recreation and Tourism
      Methodology
      • Satellite/Remote Observations
      Time Scale
      • Current (existing or recent)
      • Future (one month)
      Spatial Scale
      • Region/Nation (Grid)
      Sourcehttp://www.prh.noaa.gov/data/HFO/HSFSP
      NameHigh-Resolution WRF-NMM Simulations for the Hawaiian Islands
      DescriptionThe Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Model (NMM) system produce daily high-resolution atmospheric forecasts covering all of the Hawaiian Islands (72 hr at 9 km horizontal resolution) as well as detailed forecasts for each of the main Hawaiian Islands (1.5 km and 3 km horizontal resolution). Variables displayed are: 2 Meter Temperature; 10 Meter Wind; 2 Meter Relative Humidity; and Hourly Accumulated Rainfall. Please note that these products are experimental and are not official NWS forecasts.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
      Region
      • Central North Pacific
      Impact
      • Drought
      • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
      Sector
      • Public Health and Safety
      • Fresh Water Resources
      Methodology
      • Dynamical Model
      Time Scale
      • Current (existing or recent)
      • Future (one month)
      Spatial Scale
      • Region/Nation (Grid)
      Sourcehttp://www.soest.hawaii.edu/MET/Faculty/mm5/WRF/index.html
      NameIsland Climate Update Bulletin
      DescriptionA monthly summary of the climate in the tropical South Pacific islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region. This outlook uses a Multi-Model Ensemble Tool for the Pacific Islands (METPI). This bulletin is a multi-national project with collaboration from a number of Pacific nations and support from various organizations.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
      • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
      Region
      • South Pacific
      Impact
      • Drought
      • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
      • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
      • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
      Sector
      • Public Health and Safety
      • Fresh Water Resources
      • Community Planning and Development
      • Agriculture and Fisheries
      • Recreation and Tourism
      • Ecosystems
      Methodology
      • Dynamical Model
      Time Scale
      • Current (existing or recent)
      • Future (one month)
      • Future (three months)
      Spatial Scale
      • Region/Nation (Grid)
      Sourcehttp://www.niwa.co.nz/our-science/climate/publications/all/icu
      NameLocal 3-Month Temperature Outlooks for Hawaii
      DescriptionLocal 3-Month Temperature Outlooks (L3MTO) are produced operationally each month for about 1,200 sites across continental U.S., Alaska and Hawaii. These outlooks are based on the guidance provided in the Climate Prediction Center’s (CPC) Probability of Exceedance (POE) 3-month temperature outlooks. The L3MTO uses local climatological biases together with expected regional climate variability derived from the more general CPC outlooks. The L3MTO consists of thirteen 3-month temperature outlooks for each specified site with lead times from 0.5 months to 12.5 months. L3MTOs are provided in graphical, tabular, and text formats, and are available via the NWS/WFO Web pages concurrent with the issuance of the CPC 3-month temperature outlooks.(More…) (PDF)
      ECV
      • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
      Region
      • Central North Pacific
      Impact
        Sector
          Methodology
            Time Scale
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://www.nws.noaa.gov/climate/calendar_outlook.php?wfo=hnl
            NameMadden-Julian Oscillation Monitoring
            DescriptionThe Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a global-scale feature of the tropical atmosphere. The MJO is the major fluctuation in tropical weather on weekly to monthly timescales. The MJO can be characterized as an eastward moving pulse of cloud and rainfall near the equator that typically recurs every 30 to 60 days. MJO effects are most evident over the Indian Ocean and western equatorial Pacific. It influences the timing, development and strength of the major global monsoon patterns, including the Indian and Australian monsoons. Tropical cyclones are also more likely to develop in association with certain phases of a strong MJO event. The Weekly Tropical Climate Note provides information on the current phase of the MJO.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Global
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Recreation and Tourism
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.bom.gov.au/climate/mjo
            NameModel Outlooks of ENSO Conditions
            DescriptionDynamical models surveyed by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology/National Climate Centre climatologists regarding the outputs from various long range forecast models. The model set contains seven reputable ocean or coupled ocean/atmosphere climate models that take into account complex physical ocean processes (POAMA, CFS, GEOS-5, ARPEGE, System 4, JMA/MRI-CGCM, GloSea). In addition, frequent updates of the latest observational data with relevant commentary are available on the BoM’s ENSO Wrap-Up page.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Recreation and Tourism
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (one month)
            • Future (three months)
            • Future (six months or more)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/ENSO-summary.shtml
            NameMonthly ENSO, Seasonal Rainfall and Sea Level Outlooks Discussion
            DescriptionThe PEAC Center conducts a monthly conference call that discusses the monthly sea level outlook, the ENSO state, the PEAC rainfall outlook, and island reports from around the South Pacific. Objectives are to: 1) Review impacts of ENSO and climatic events; 2) Learn from past climatological and weather events; 3) Improve effectiveness of communication between weather experts; 4) Plan for future events accordingly; 5) Empower local governments with weather and climate knowledge to make correct decisions: and 6) Maintain a database of weather information and observations on the Islands affiliated with PEAC.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            • Terrestrial (e.g., Groundwater, Soil Moisture)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Energy
            • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Social and Cultural Resources
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Recreation and Tourism
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (one month)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://www.prh.noaa.gov/peac/discussion.php
            NameNet Assessment Forecasts for the Pacific Islands
            DescriptionIRI multi-model seasonal probability forecasts for temperature and precipitation for the Pacific Islands region. A corresponding experimental Climate Outlook Discussion provides a detailed explanation of the forecasts and also contains maps of the rainfall cutoffs used between near-normal, above-normal, and below-normal rainfall in terms of percent normal rainfall. In addition, there are maps of the maximum and minimum extremes for rainfall in each region. An additional global map is provided, which indicates perceived risk that the seasonal precipitation will fall into the wettest/driest 15th percentile of the observed records.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Statistical Model
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://iri.columbia.edu/climate/forecast/net_asmt
            NameNighttime Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Product
            DescriptionThe NOAA Coral Reef Watch (CRW) program seeks to fully utilize space-based sea surface temperature (SST) observations, combined with in-situ data, to continually monitor for early indications of thermally-induced coral reef bleaching worldwide. The Enhanced 50-km (E-50) Satellite Nighttime SST Anomaly product is part of the CRW near-real-time global 50-km satellite coral bleaching thermal stress monitoring product suite. A SST anomaly is the difference between the satellite nighttime SST and a long-term mean nighttime SST (i.e., an SST climatology) at the corresponding time of year. The E-50 SST Anomaly product helps one quickly pinpoint regions of elevated SSTs throughout the world's oceans. It is especially valuable for the tropical regions, where most coral reef ecosystems exist. It is also very useful in assessing ENSO development, monitoring hurricane wake cooling, and even observing major shifts in coastal upwellings, etc.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            • Global
            Impact
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            Time Scale
            • Past (historical)
            • Current (existing or recent)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/satellite/e50/current/e50_anom_45ns.current.gif
            NameNighttime Sea Surface Temperature Short-Term Trend
            DescriptionThe NOAA Coral Reef Watch (CRW) program seeks to fully utilize space-based sea surface temperature (SST) observations, combined with in-situ data, to continually monitor for early indications of thermally-induced coral reef bleaching worldwide. The Satellite Nighttime SST 21-Day Short-Term Trend product is part of the CRW near-real-time global 50-km satellite coral bleaching thermal stress monitoring product suite. While SST monitoring measures the SST condition at any given moment in time, short-term SST trends over the past few weeks provide another layer of environmental information indicating the pace and direction of the variation of SST and coral bleaching thermal stress.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            • Global
            Impact
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/satellite/ssttrends/current/current_ssttrend21days_45NS.gif
            NameNOAA Tide Predictions – Pacific Region
            DescriptionThe NOAA Tide Predictions application provides 2 distinct categories of predictions from stations: 1) Predicted height values for Harmonic Predictions are constructed by combining the harmonic constituents into a single tide curve. 2) The high and low height values for Subordinate Predictions are obtained by means and differences and ratios applied to the full harmonic constant predictions at a specific referenced station. Standard options include selection of a Daily, Weekly, or Monthly view, the ability to select feet or meters, and the ability to select a time zone of LST/LDT, LST, or GMT. Characteristics of the default ("Daily") view include the time range of 2 Days centered on the current date, Time Zone of LST/LDT, Data Units of Feet, heights referenced to MLLW, and Tabular High/Low values. Advanced options include selection of different datums (MLLW, MLW, MSL, MHW, MHHW, MTL), time format of AM/PM or 24-Hour, data intervals for the associated tables, and threshold values relative to a user defined threshold value.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Recreation and Tourism
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            • Future (one month)
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/tide_predictions.shtml?gid=349
            NameOffshore Waters Forecast for Hawaii
            DescriptionHawaiian offshore waters beyond 40 nautical miles out to 240 nautical miles including the portion of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument east of French Frigate Shoals. Seas given as significant wave height which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            Impact
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            Sector
            • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Recreation and Tourism
            Methodology
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            • Future (one month)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.prh.noaa.gov/data/HFO/OFFHFO
            NameOnline Climate Outlook Forum
            DescriptionThe Online Climate Outlook Forum (OCOF), also known as the Pacific Islands online Climate Outlook Forum (PICOF) by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), began during the second phase of the Pacific Islands Climate Prediction Project and is listed under WMO's Regional Climate Outlook Products. The participants include ten Pacific Island Countries and staff from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The primary rationale for the OCOF is to continue training the NMS in the production of seasonal climate outlooks using SCOPIC. The forum covers the current ENSO status and forecasts, the Islands' most recent one and three month rainfall observations, and their latest seasonal climate outlooks. In addition, POAMA outlooks are compared with the statistical outlooks. The OCOF also provides an opportunity for general feedback, sharing and questions, particularly in regard to experiences with clients, SCOPIC and the Climate Adaptation Projects.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            • Other
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            • Statistical Model
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            • Future (one month)
            • Future (three months)
            • Future (six months or more)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://www.bom.gov.au/cosppac/comp/ocof/
            NameOutgoing Longwave Radiation
            DescriptionOutgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) data at the top of the atmosphere are observed from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) instrument aboard the NOAA polar orbiting spacecraft. Data are centered across equatorial areas from 160°E to 160°W longitude, with gaps filled with temporal and spatial interpolation. Graphical products include Latest Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Seasonal, as well as Time-Longitude and Time-Latitude for Totals and Anomalies.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            • Global
            Impact
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/olr.shtml
            NamePacific ENSO Update Quarterly Newsletter
            DescriptionThe Pacific ENSO Update, a quarterly newsletter, provides tailored climate forecasts for the U.S.-Affiliated Pacific Islands. The newsletter’s focus is to introduce new climate research and provide relevant climate information to climate sensitive sectors such as water resources, fisheries, agriculture, civil defense, energy and others of economic and environmental importance to the USAPI. About 450 newsletters are sent around the world, free to the public. Sections in the newsletter address tropical cyclone activity, climate outlook of the islands in the South Pacific, Sea Level, the ENSO current status, and island summaries of weather in the previous quarter.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            • Terrestrial (e.g., Groundwater, Soil Moisture)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Energy
            • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Social and Cultural Resources
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Recreation and Tourism
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://www.prh.noaa.gov/peac/update.php
            NamePacific Islands Climate Prediction Project
            DescriptionThis project aims to expand understanding of how seasonal climate prediction services can be applied to support climate-sensitive decision making and the use of climate predictions by National Meteorological Services in Pacific Island Countries funded by AusAID, and industries/agencies whose interests are affected by seasonal climate variability. The forecasts prediction scheme implemented is based on the current operational seasonal climate prediction system used by the Bureau of Meteorology for Australia. A Seasonal Climate Outlook Table, Seasonal Outlooks from Coupled Climate Model, a Summary Report of the Climate Outlook Forum, and a South Pacific Seasonal Outlook for Tropical Cyclones are provided.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Energy
            • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Recreation and Tourism
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (one month)
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://www.bom.gov.au/climate/pi-cpp/clim_forecasts.shtml
            NamePacific Sea Level Extremes Outlooks Products
            DescriptionThe objective of this effort is to build upon seasonal sea level outlooks currently provided by the NWS Pacific ENSO Applications Climate Center as well as similarly types of information being provided by other agencies, institutions, and organizations in the Pacific Islands region. The goal is to provide information to planners, managers, and other decision-makers that affords them an opportunity to appropriately address risks from elevated water levels. Extreme water levels are experienced when seasonal high tides combine with intra-annual sea level variations associated with ocean processes (e.g., ENSO, mesoscale eddy events) and surge and/or high run-up due to wind, wave, and atmospheric forces associated with storms. Recent work suggest that not only can stations can be grouped regionally into those where high tides dictate extremes, where the combination of high tides and the nontidal residual is important, and where nontidal residual events are the primary cause of extreme levels, but by the combination of processes that contribute to the nontidal residual (e.g., tropical and extra-tropical storms, ocean mesoscale variability, and swell events from distant storms). This effort is exploring how this knowledge can be used, for example by establishing forecast skill through statistical relationships to teleconnections or other such indices, to create one to three month extreme water level outlooks that are specific to a particular location.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            Impact
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Community Planning and Development
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Source
            NamePOAMA Long-Range Outlook
            DescriptionThese model forecasts of the El Nino - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are generated by the Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA), a dynamical computer model of the climate system run at the Bureau of Meteorology. They are included in the monthly model summary of predictions from POAMA and other models operated by international organisations. POAMA outlooks are displayed from the 1st of each month and give forecasts out to nine months ahead. The model ensemble distributions provide a range of possible developments in sea surface temperature (SST) in the equatorial Pacific Ocean (NINO regions) and for the Indian Ocean.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            • Global
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Recreation and Tourism
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (one month)
            • Future (three months)
            • Future (six months or more)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.bom.gov.au/climate/poama2.4/poama.shtml
            NamePrecipitation Climatology for Stations in the Tropical Pacific Basin; Effects of ENSO
            DescriptionThe NOAA/NWS/Climate Prediction Center developed a precipitation climatology for 66 tropical Pacific Basin stations over the period of 1955-96 (NCEP/CPC ATLAS No. 5). The main purpose of the climatology is to establish a background for defining thresholds of rainfall deficiency amount and duration associated with drought episodes on an individual island-to-island basis.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            Impact
            • Drought
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            Time Scale
            • Past (historical)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pacdir/NINDEX22.shtml
            NamePrognostic Discussion for Long-Lead Hawaiian Outlooks
            DescriptionMonthly and seasonal prognostic discussion for Hawaiian temperature and precipitation outlooks.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Recreation and Tourism
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (one month)
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxhw40.html
            NameROMS Ocean Model Compare Forecasts for Hawaii
            DescriptionRegional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) output for three different regions in Hawaii, the Hawaiian Islands, the island of Oahu, and the southern shore of Oahu. Temperature, salinity, velocity, and surface height for each region are displayed. Output is saved every three hours, but for a general view of the data, the variables are available for each day and for every 6 hours in the animations, except for the surface height. The surface height is averaged over 27 hours to capture the main tidal constituents.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            Impact
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Recreation and Tourism
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            • Future (one month)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://oos.soest.hawaii.edu/pacioos/focus/modeling/ROMS_compare_variable.php
            NameSamoa Seasonal Rainfall Outlook
            DescriptionThe Samoa Seasonal Rainfall Outlook was generated using the statistical model known as Seasonal Climate Prediction Model for the Pacific Island Countries (SCOPIC). SCOPIC is software based on the Commonwealth Bureau of Meteorology’s operational seasonal climate prediction system. The prediction system is statistically based, utilizing a discriminant analysis algorithm to generate forecast probabilities through correlation between different predictors and predictands. The information used in SCOPIC as the predictor are: SOI Phases, SOI Values, SST Niño Regions, SST EOFS. Predictands are the climate parameters that we wish to forecast. The predictand data will in most cases consist of rainfall or temperature data.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://www.talofa.net/climatechange/ClimateOutlook/tabid/7105/language/en-US/Default.aspx
            NameSamoa Tropical Cyclone Season Outlook
            DescriptionThe Tropical Cyclone (TC) season for the Samoa Islands is from November 1 ending on April 30. The Samoa Tropical Cyclone Season Outlook is based on statistical analysis of historical TC events that have occurred in similar ENSO conditions.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Community Planning and Development
            Methodology
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (six months or more)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://www.talofa.net/climatechange/ClimateOutlook/tabid/7105/language/en-US/Default.aspx
            NameSea Level Forecasts at Harbors in Hawaii and on Other Pacific Islands
            DescriptionThe forecast of high sea level in and around harbors is an important component of safe and reliable operations by harbor users, and provides a benefit to residential and commercial property owners in surrounding low-lying areas. A forecast tool has been developed that indicates, up to 6 days in advance, the potential for flooding in and around the harbor areas, exclusive of tsunamis, storm surges and river runoff. These forecasts utilize solely the existing ongoing sea level observations, and the method can be extended to virtually any harbor with such near real-time observations.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Recreation and Tourism
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            • Future (one month)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://oos.soest.hawaii.edu/pacioos/data_product/SLpred/
            NameSea Surface Temperature Climate Products
            DescriptionPlots created from NOAA Optimum Interpolation (OI) Version 2 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) data. Graphical products include Latest Daily, Weekly, Monthly, and Seasonal for Totals and Anomalies, as well as Time-Longitude/Latitude for Yearly Trends and Anomalies.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            • Global
            Impact
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            Time Scale
            • Past (historical)
            • Current (existing or recent)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/sst.shtml
            NameSeasonal Climate Anomalies
            DescriptionSeasonal climate anomalies from the NCEP CFSv2. CFS is a coupled global climate model used for operational intraseasonal to interannual (ISI) prediction. The current version of CFS includes the latest developments in the global atmospheric model (GFS, used for numerical weather forecast), coupling with a new version of the global ocean model (MOM4), a sea ice model, and an improved land surface model (Noah).(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            • Global
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Community Planning and Development
            Methodology
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            • Statistical Model
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (one month)
            • Future (six months or more)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/CFSv2seasonal.shtml
            NameSeasonal Climate Outlooks in Pacific Island Countries
            DescriptionSCOPIC is a decision support system for generating probabilistic predictions (seasonal climate outlooks) for rainfall, temperature or other climate related parameters. SCOPIC was developed to provide Pacific Island nations with a standalone PC version of the Commonwealth Bureau of Meteorology's operational seasonal climate prediction system. Based on historical data, the system uses a statistical method called linear discriminant analysis. Forecast probabilities of the variable we're interested in (called the predictand), e.g. rainfall, are generated via historical relationships with different predictors.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            Sector
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (one month)
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://www.bom.gov.au/cosppac/comp/scopic/index.shtml
            NameSeasonal Coral Bleaching Thermal Stress Outlook
            DescriptionThe bleaching outlook system is a tropical ocean prediction system covering the tropical strip between 30S to 30N, but focused on the global tropical coral reef areas. The prediction is currently available at 2x2 degree spatial resolution and weekly temporal resolution. The system is set up for predicting bleaching thermal stress at lead times of 1 through 24 weeks. The outlook system comprises three integrated parts: prediction of weekly sea surface temperature (SST), prediction of weekly bleaching thermal stress potential, and seasonal outlook of potential coral bleaching thermal stress.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            • Global
            Impact
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (one month)
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/satellite/bleachingoutlook/
            NameSeasonal Rainfall Outlook for the U.S.-Affiliated Pacific Islands
            DescriptionThe PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook is an experimental consensus forecast, produced monthly by the Pacific ENSO Applications Climate (PEAC) Center for 14 stations within Hawaii and the USAPI. The PEAC Outlook uses data from the following 7 models: UKMO, NASA NSIPP, ECMWF, IRICP, NCEP Constructed Analog, NCEP Coupled Model, and UH/IPRC PRIDE. The PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook is a probabilistic forecast displayed in tercile form (3 categories). The three categories represent the chances of an event falling into the Below Average, Near Average and Above Average categories, respectively. Tercile cut-offs for each location and season are based on Pacific Rainfall Climatologies (Climate Prediction Center) 1981-2010.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Community Planning and Development
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://www.prh.noaa.gov/peac/rainfall.php
            NameSeasonal Sea Level Outlook for the U.S.-Affiliated Pacific Islands
            DescriptionPacific Island communities are most vulnerable to climate variability and change. Advance information on sea-level variability can contribute significantly to prepare a real-time response plan for the island communities. This project describes: (i) the Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) forecasts (mean and maxima) for sea-level deviations on seasonal time scales; (ii) the observed monthly mean and maximum sea-level deviations for a particular season; and (iii) forecast verifications (observed/forecast values).(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Community Planning and Development
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (three months)
            • Future (six months or more)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Sourcehttp://www.prh.noaa.gov/peac/sea-level.php
            NameSeasonal Water Level and Storminess Outlook for the Pacific Islands
            DescriptionThe Seasonal Water Level and Storminess Outlook proof-of-concept (POC) product for the Pacific Islands is specifically tailored for coastal flooding/erosion risk warning. The POC product aims to project the potential for elevated water levels at the shoreline due to: 1) regional changes in mean sea level associated with ENSO and other modes of natural variability; 2) tropical and extra-tropical storms; and 3) unusually high tides. The POC product responds to a need from community planners, resource managers, and other decision-makers for information about the potential for coastal flooding and erosion to threaten coastal structures and property, groundwater reservoirs, harbor operations, waste water systems, sandy beaches, coral reef ecosystems, and other social and economic concerns. Currently, information of this type is limited in scope and not well integrated. The POC constitutes a path-finding activity directed towards aligning complementary interests and activities, sponsoring joint projects, and leveraging funding as a way to minimize duplication of effort and maximize the use of agency resources in the Pacific.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Energy
            • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Social and Cultural Resources
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Recreation and Tourism
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (three months)
            • Future (six months or more)
            Spatial Scale
            • Location/Site Specific (Point)
            Source
            NameSouth Pacific Convergence Zone Forecast
            DescriptionA monthly summary of the South Pacific Convergence Zone in the tropical South Pacific islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region. This outlook uses the global climate models for rainfall that are in the Multi-Model Ensemble Tool for the Pacific Islands (METPI).(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            • Future (one month)
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.niwa.co.nz/climate/icu
            NameSouthern Oscillation Index and TAO/TRITON Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Time Series
            DescriptionThe TAO/TRITON array consists of approximately 70 moorings in the Tropical Pacific Ocean, telemetering oceanographic and meteorological data to shore in real-time via the Argos satellite system. The array is a major component of the ENSO Observing System, the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) and the Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS). The Southern Oscillation Index and TAO/TRITON Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Time Series is used for improved detection, understanding and prediction of El Nino and La Nina.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            Impact
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Past (historical)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/jsdisplay/
            NameSummary of ENSO Model Prediction Forecasts
            DescriptionGraph and table showing forecasts made by dynamical and statistical models for SST in the Nino 3.4 region for nine overlapping 3-month periods. Differences among the forecasts of the models reflect both differences in model design, and actual uncertainty in the forecast of the possible future SST scenario. Also includes: Discussion of current forecasts, Summary of forecasts issued over last 22 months, Individual model view over last 22 months, Additional information on models, and Notes on the data.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            Impact
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Statistical Model
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSO/currentinfo/SST_table.html
            NameTAO/TRITON Sea Surface Temperature and Winds
            DescriptionThe TAO/TRITON array consists of approximately 70 moorings in the Tropical Pacific Ocean, telemetering oceanographic and meteorological data to shore in real-time via the Argos satellite system. The array is a major component of the ENSO Observing System, the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) and the Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS). The TAO/TRITON Sea Surface Temperature and Winds product is used for improved detection, understanding and prediction of El Nino and La Nina.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            Impact
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/jsdisplay/
            NameTropical Cyclone Surface Wind Speed Probabilities for the North Pacific Ocean in the NDFD
            DescriptionThe TCSWSP elements depict probabilities, in percent, of sustained surface wind speeds. These probabilities are provided for wind speed thresholds equal to or exceeding 34-, 50-, and 64-knots. These wind speed probabilities are based on the track, intensity, and storm structure (size in terms of wind radii) uncertainties in the official tropical cyclone forecasts. TCSWSP elements for the North Pacific Ocean through 120 hours at 6 hour temporal resolution and 10 kilometer spatial resolution. TCSWSP elements covering the North Pacific Ocean are available in NDFD in experimental status.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            Impact
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Transportation/Communication and Commerce
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (one month)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://graphical.weather.gov/sectors/npacocnTropicalDay.php
            NameTropical Pacific Islands Monthly and Seasonal Rainfall Outlooks
            DescriptionThe Climate Prediction Center provides various rainfall outlook products for U.S. and non-U.S. Affiliated Islands based on the National Centers for Environmental Prediction's (NCEP) Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) model. Seasonal outlook of rainfall deviations from normal at selected tropical Pacific stations are given for the coming 3-month period out to a year.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Community Planning and Development
            Methodology
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (three months)
            • Future (six months or more)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pacdir/NCCA1.shtml
            NameTropical Pacific Mean Sea-Surface Temperature Outlook
            DescriptionCPC issues 13 three-month mean SST outlooks for the Nino 3.4 area of the Central Pacific for each valid three-month period. CPC provides the outlooks in departure from the climatological normal SST in tenths of a degree Celsius. CPC climate outlook techniques rely significantly upon the slowly varying global SST field and do not have usable accuracy at long lead times. These SST outlooks make tangible the results of research activities by many scientists over several decades on the subjects of El Nino, ocean-atmosphere interaction, etc.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            Impact
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/WNC/PMDSST
            NameTropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Animation
            DescriptionWeekly averaged sea surface temperatures (°C) and anomalies (°C) for the past twelve weeks. SST analysis is the optimum interpolation (OI) analysis, while anomalies are departures from the adjusted OI climatology (Reynolds and Smith 1995, J. Climate, 8, 1571-1583).(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            • South Pacific
            • Pacific Basin
            Impact
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_update/sstanim.shtml
            NameTropical Rainfall and SST Outlook
            DescriptionA monthly summary of the Tropical Rainfall and SST in the tropical South Pacific islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region. This outlook uses the Multi-Model Ensemble Tool for the Pacific Islands (METPI). A Rainfall Anomaly Outlook map, a SST Anomaly Outlook map, and a table of Rainfall and SST Estimates for Pacific Islands are provided. (More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • South Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Community Planning and Development
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Recreation and Tourism
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            • Future (one month)
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.niwa.co.nz/climate/icu
            NameTropical Weather Outlook for the Central North Pacific
            DescriptionThe CPHC prepares the Tropical Weather Outlook during a respective tropical cyclone season for the Central North Pacific, between 140W and 180. The outlook covers tropical and subtropical waters and discusses areas of disturbed weather and the potential for tropical cyclone development during the next 48 hours. The outlook will mention tropical cyclones and subtropical cyclones, including the system's location (in either general terms or map coordinates), status, and change in status.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            Impact
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            Methodology
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/pages/TWO.php
            NameTropical Weather Summary for the Central North Pacific
            DescriptionThe tropical weather summary for the Central North Pacific is issued at the beginning of each month from July to December, summarizing the previous month's tropical cyclone activity.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            Impact
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            • Coastal Flooding/Erosion
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            Methodology
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/pages/TWS.php
            NameU.S. Drought Monitor - Hawaii
            DescriptionThe U.S. Drought Monitor map provides a summary of drought conditions across the United States and Puerto Rico. Often described as a blend of art and science, the map is updated weekly by combining a variety of data-based drought indices and indicators and local expert input into a single composite drought indicator. The map denotes four levels of drought intensity and one level of abnormal dryness. Also depicted are areas experiencing agricultural or hydrological drought impacts. These impact indicators help communicate whether short or long-term precipitation deficits are occurring. The Drought Monitor focuses on broad-scale conditions. Local conditions may vary.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Terrestrial (e.g., Groundwater, Soil Moisture)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Statistical Model
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DM_state.htm?HI
            NameU.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook
            DescriptionDepicts large-scale drought trends based on subjectively derived probabilities guided by short- and long-range statistical and dynamical forecasts. Tools used include the official CPC temperature and precipitation outlooks and the long lead forecast, various medium- and short-range forecasts and models such as the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts, the most recent 384-hour GFS total precipitation amounts, the soil moisture tools based on the Constructed Analog on Soil moisture, the Climate Forecast System (v1 and 2), the four-month Palmer drought termination and amelioration probabilities, climatology, and initial conditions. A Discussion for the Seasonal Drought Outlook is also provided.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Terrestrial (e.g., Groundwater, Soil Moisture)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • Statistical Model
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Future (three months)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/seasonal_drought.html
            NameWMO El Nino/La Nina Update
            DescriptionUpdate report on the El Nino/La Nina current situation and outlook. Detailed interpretations of regional climate fluctuations are generated routinely by the climate forecasting community of WMO member National Meteorological and Hydrological Services.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            • Oceanic (e.g., Water Temperature, Salinity, Acidity, Sea Level, Wave Height)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            • Western North Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            • Coral Bleaching/Ecosystem Impacts (e.g., Marine)
            Sector
            • Fresh Water Resources
            • Agriculture and Fisheries
            • Ecosystems
            Methodology
            • In-Situ Observations
            • Satellite/Remote Observations
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            • Future (six months or more)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/wcasp/enso_update_latest.html
            NameWRF-ARW Simulations for the Hawaiian Islands
            DescriptionThe Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-Advanced Research WRF (ARW) models produce daily atmospheric forecasts covering all of the Hawaiian Islands (84 hr at 6 km and 18 km horizontal resolution) as well as detailed forecasts for each of the main Hawaiian Islands. Variables displayed are: 2 Meter Temperature; 10 Meter Wind; 2 Meter Relative Humidity; and Hourly Accumulated Rainfall. Please note that these products are experimental and are not official NWS forecasts.(More…) (PDF)
            ECV
            • Atmospheric (e.g., Air Temperature, Rainfall, Wind speed and direction)
            Region
            • Central North Pacific
            Impact
            • Drought
            • Heavy Rainfall/Stream Flooding/Mass Wasting
            Sector
            • Public Health and Safety
            • Fresh Water Resources
            Methodology
            • Dynamical Model
            Time Scale
            • Current (existing or recent)
            • Future (one month)
            Spatial Scale
            • Region/Nation (Grid)
            Sourcehttp://www.soest.hawaii.edu/MET/Faculty/wrf/arw/index.html
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